Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.518220 3.928056 4.372978 4.892936 5.485245 6.140496 6.922367
2025-02-23 2.943007 3.495272 4.138922 4.948654 5.945916 7.141393 8.694094
2025-03-02 2.493560 3.096322 3.836002 4.818640 6.101967 7.737862 10.007991
2025-03-09 2.201666 2.833143 3.640964 4.762963 6.301214 8.365886 11.397539
2025-03-16 1.974256 2.617585 3.469908 4.699454 6.457151 8.924879 12.733878
2025-03-23 1.871669 2.552129 3.483912 4.877472 6.951384 9.993169 14.924881
2025-03-30 1.728876 2.413963 3.378754 4.866978 7.160125 10.654333 16.571237
2025-04-06 1.598413 2.279607 3.263368 4.823886 7.305899 11.223124 18.130092
2025-04-13 1.429783 2.074483 3.024818 4.567266 7.085602 11.178047 18.643333
2025-04-20 1.348176 1.992431 2.963248 4.578463 7.291792 11.844692 20.468071
2025-04-27 1.295016 1.948950 2.956053 4.673504 7.642185 12.787573 22.914439
2025-05-04 1.244966 1.905893 2.944897 4.758735 7.980781 13.742262 25.512844
2025-05-11 1.189778 1.852300 2.915173 4.814387 8.281524 14.679385 28.256310
2025-05-18 1.137260 1.799237 2.882112 4.861018 8.570738 15.630185 31.184114
2025-05-25 1.058155 1.696335 2.757150 4.732122 8.517142 15.908146 32.717970
2025-06-01 0.999124 1.623134 2.677316 4.677299 8.597558 16.458059 34.932883
2025-06-08 0.944035 1.552971 2.597530 4.615045 8.655579 16.965895 37.129335
2025-06-15 0.929704 1.552616 2.641032 4.789370 9.206151 18.578387 42.232660
2025-06-22 0.889160 1.503057 2.591827 4.779091 9.373244 19.375543 45.460088
2025-06-29 0.847235 1.448370 2.529342 4.736892 9.467528 20.019145 48.404753
2025-07-06 0.780543 1.344810 2.369282 4.485564 9.084779 19.519554 48.216321
2025-07-13 0.752407 1.310776 2.338500 4.496530 9.281911 20.408960 52.003920
2025-07-20 0.736133 1.297821 2.347028 4.589616 9.672886 21.815195 57.534232